Read, watch and then respond to one of the current events/primary questions. (Stories will be posted throuout the week).
Romney Out, McCain Looks Ahead
Apparent GOP Nominee Tries to Mend Fences With Conservatives
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/02/07/AR2008020704239.html?hpid=topnews
Bush Signals Support for McCain
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/02/08/AR2008020800964.html?hpid=topnews
Video
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/video/2008/02/07/VI2008020703393.html?sid=ST2008020800120
Question #1: Do you think McCain will be able to win over conservatives? Why/Why not?
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/02/12/AR2008021201901.html?hpid=topnews
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/02/12/AR2008021203196.html?hpid=topnews
Question #2: Who will win the democratic nomination? Why? (Remember, you must cite examples from the stories that support your position)
53 comments:
I think that McChain is going to win over the conservative vote. He is may be the only Republic in the race and most of the people at C pack like him and though who feel like McCain haven’t done anything for the conservative party lately will come around and vote for McCain because he is the only one who really supports their views and he is also being supported by the president, even that little bit counts.
In my personal opinion I believe that John McCain will be able to win over the conservative vote. In some of these videos McCain speaks on behalf of the conservatives and how he shares many of the same views. He agrees with most conservatives on one of the most crucial matters facing the world today. His opinion is that the other candidates will pull our troops out of Iraq too soon. McCain tries to persuade the voters that Obama or Clinton will give in to popular demand and that it won’t be beneficial to our country. John McCain has a good chance at winning over the conservative party.
In my opinion, I think that McCain will not win over the conservatives. What I took out of the article was that he had ideas that seemed to be decent; however the video shows that he may not know what he is doing, such as doing whatever it takes to win the conflict in Iraq, even if it means killing thousands of innocent citizens of Iraq. Also many citizens disapprove of our current president, who now supports what McCain is campaigning for. This may turn some voters away from McCain and towards other candidates. Conservatives are people who favor change over time, but some of McCain’s plans for the future of our country might not agree with what he is doing for certain things such as the war for some people. He wants to stay offensive in the war, but some conservatives may want to see a change in combat such as diplomacy being introduced instead of armed conflict.
McCain will be able to win over conservatives because he will soon be endorsed by Bush as the conservative candidate, and he is the only candidate really representing conservative views. He supports keeping troops in Iraq, saying that his opponents will recklessly remove troops without regard to the “profound human calamity” this would cause. This will win support of conservatives who tend to side on the side of caution and wouldn’t want to make any new, radical decisions, such as a sudden withdrawal of troops. Barack and Clinton have expressed ideas towards the situation in Iraq that would be more drastic and sudden.
I think John McCain is gaining popularity over conservatives, especially now with Mit Romney no longer in the race. I think he now has a better chance of winning the conservative vote. He has the support of George Bush to back him up, too. He is for the war in Iraq. Conservatives don’t want a rapid change in the war such as the liberals do. McCain didn’t have to much support at first from the conservatives due to the fact he did not attend the CPAC last year. However this year he attended and presented a speech at the CPAC. This lead to more conservative votes. This showed conservatives he does want their vote and he does think the conservative views are important to his success in the presidential election.
McCain will be able to win the support of the conservatives especially after the resignation of Mit Romney who was popular among conservatives. President George W. Bush recently backed McCain in his campaign which will appeal to people who support the current conservative president. McCain supported Bush’s action to put more troops into Iraq. The stance that McCain takes on many issues appeals to a great number of conservative voters. Compared to his liberal Democratic opponents Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, McCain will easily gain the support of many conservatives throughout the country. McCain claimed “Whomever the Democrats nominate, they would govern this country in a way that will, in my opinion, take this country backward.” In conclusion I do believe that McCain will gain the support of the conservative voters in our country come the November election.
By this point in the primaries, I firmly believe that John McCain will win over the conservative vote. Despite his seeming “lack” of action and accomplishment to benefit his own conservative party, I believe that with the recent withdrawal of Mitt Romney as a competing candidate in the Republican party will result in Romney’s previous supporters favoring McCain as the “next best” candidate. Personally, I believe that Huckabee has obtained a relatively low profile, and feel that his almost dogmatic religious principles to which he clings will only be looked upon favorably by a small percentage of conservatives. In comparison to the remaining conservative candidates running in the primaries, I feel that many Republicans, more than ever, will turn to McCain. It will be interesting to observe the course of events over the next few months to see if the majority of Republicans actually will support McCain, as even conservatives are split over the decision to withdraw or keep our troops in Iraq. Even conservatives as well as liberals and moderates are looking for change in this nation after Bush’s eight years in office.
I believe that senator John McCain will win over the conservative vote. This is because McCain really supports the conservative views. Some may say that he hasn't been doing much for the conservatives but hes one of the only candidates on their side. McCain is also strongly backed up by the president.McCain is a firm believer in not withdrawing troops from Iraq to soon. Therefore I think that John McCain will win over the conservative votes.
I believe that Obama will win the democratic nomination based on his lead in the polls and the increase in supporters among unexpected groups. Obama has a strong lead against Clinton since he won over Maine, Washington D.C., and Maryland. Obama is also gaining votes from groups Clinton was supposed to capture liberal and moderate votes. Clinton may have a stronger majority of women and older citizens but Obama is beginning to seize the votes of both young and old voters. He is also attracting the independents and Democrats where Clinton was stronger. There has been a shift in voting based on the presence that Obama has and the appeal of his ideas. With Clinton saying inappropriate things about not only his competitor but also the current president she is weakening herself and her campaign.
In my opinion, I think that McCain will eventually be able to win over the support of the conservatives. Although there are some conservatives who do not support him right now, I think they will end up changing their minds. Since Romney dropped from the election, McCain is basically the only candidate representing the conservatives. As the articles state, President Bush will soon be endorsing him as the conservative candidate in this election. McCain has acknowledged the fact that he has differences with some of the conservatives, but he pointed out that in his 22 years serving in the Senate he was true to the mainstream conservative beliefs. McCain has stated that he supports keeping troops in Iraq unlike his opponents. By stating this he is showing that he doesn’t plan on making any radical decisions and by doing so he would be gaining support of many conservatives. McCain knows that he needs the support of the conservatives, so therefore I think he will change his views to fit the conservative ideals. Ultimately, I think the conservative people in the United States will support McCain.
John McCain will definitely be able to win over the conservatives. With Mitt Romney dropping out of the presidential race, John McCain will have a full force with the conservative voters. John McCain represents a man who wants to limit immigration and continue the war with Iraq. Recently, McCain has supported Bush’s new tax cut, which was very popular with conservative’s nation wide. In a question of whether a voter would vote for Obama, Clinton, or McCain, the three front runners, I believe that any conservative would go with the republicans. It will be a matter of time before Mike Huckabee drops out and McCain is the only Democratic candidate. Overall I firmly believe that John McCain will be able to win the votes of most conservatives around the nation.
I think that John McCain will win the conservative votes. But, he will have a hard time especially after Bush indirectly announced his support of McCain. This will both help and hurt McCain's campaign because it will draw the support of the Republicans but drive away many of the conservatives who disliked the Bush administration. In order to gain their votes McCain will have to show the conservatives that he is on their side by supporting their opinions. Finally, I think that McCain will definitly be able to win the conservative votes and later the presidential election.
I think that Senator McCain will not be able to gain the Conservative votes. McCain has the support of a president that the population doesn’t believe in and wants to keep American soldiers in the war that this country’s citizens don’t stand behind anymore. Even though he says that his “views are based off of Conservative principles”(Romney Out, McCain Looks Ahead) he wants to make it clear that change for this country is a bad thing while Conservatives support change over a long period time. McCain says that “Whomever the Democrats nominate, they would govern this country in a way that will, in my opinion, take this country backward."(Romney Out, McCain Looks Ahead) But what I don’t think that Senator McCain has realized yet is that his views on governing wont take us anywhere, whether it be backwards or forwards. Another reason that McCain will not be able to win the Conservatives vote is due to the fact that in the 2008 elections the voting population is very young and concerned about “whether a nominee who would be 72 when elected can effectively run as a change-oriented candidate in a year when many voters are seeking a new direction.”(Romney Out, McCain Looks Ahead)
I think that Obama will win the democratic vote because he has already shown he is more popular then Clinton. In the recent Maryland and Virginia polls, Obama won by a landslide. Clinton does appeal to most of the white women, but Obama does have the white males vote and the union workers vote. Also he has the majority of the vote in all diferrant settings of people.
"says the Wsahington post". In my opinion, Clinton latches onto the groups that she feels are supporting her the most and is biast towards them.
Senator McCain is most likely going to win; there is almost no doubt to this. Most do not see him as conservative, mostly because he tends to lean towards liberal views, but he does say that, “Whomever the Democrats nominate, they would govern this country in a way that will, in my opinion, take this country backward." Even the president seems to be supporting McCain. Because Romney left, McCain seems to be reaping the benefits, having only Huckabee in his way. Polls seem to say that McCain was given enough votes to be in between both Obama and Clinton. Just think, if Huckabee left, he would have a solid party behind him, pushing him farther than the other two. I think McCain not only will win over Huckabee, but may also win the presidency.
Yes I believe John McCain will win the conservative vote. He agrees with most conservatives, thinking that staying in Iraq until we finish what we started is the right thing to do, no matter how long it takes or how many lives it costs. I personally disagree with this philosophy. We should teach the people of Iraq how to handle their own country and get out as soon as possible. We have lost enough American lives over something that might not even be appreciated by their people. I believe a republican does not have a chance to become President this November because of how President Bush has handled this country for the past eight years.
I sincerely believe that Obama will win the majority of the democratic votes. This is due to the fact that he already has a significant lead against Clinton (65% of overall delegates), and is choosing to appeal to the much more sizeable youth within the nation. Clinton however, seems to be clinging to the states in which she feels she’ll be accepted well. (Texas and Ohio, mainly) Her bashing of Bush also causes a loss in votes, for despite his unpopularity, some do still like him, and this further narrows the votes she could earn. Obama seems also to have a wider range, gathering a great many votes from a wide array of people, while Clinton seems only to appeal to a thinner range. The fact that she is female does not seem to be helping her either. In recent votes, it appears that most men decided to vote for someone other than Clinton, perhaps on a basis of gender… and her association with her husband does not aid either. Not a great many saw him as a very effective president, and the fact that she is his wife seems to carry over the assumption that she will follow in his footsteps.
McCain will win over republican votes in the upcoming election. With a exceptional lead over republican candidate Mike Huckabee, McCain has an almost gauranteed position as the nomonee for the 2008 presidential election. This significant win will improve his image and earn him votes. Furthermore, both democratic candidates have a very liberal platform; although McCain is a moderate conservative, his ideas are favored over the highly leftist policies of the alternative candidate. He supports many conservative ideas and opposes the democratic competition, stating that "Whomever the Democrats nominate, they would govern this country in a way that will, in my opinion, take this country backward."
John McCain will definitely win over the conservative voters. With George W. Bush backing him, many conservatives who favor Bush will more than likely follow suit. One annalyist made the point that Mike Huckabee must drop out of the race so John McCain can begin focusing on more important things than merely winning the nomination. If Huckabee is to drop out, conservatives really have no choice but to vote for McCain. Although he has been accused of leaning to the left, he still has more conservative views than that of either of the two leading Democratic nominees. If John McCain is smart, he will take Mike Huckabee as his running mate when he wins the nomination. Huckabee had a large conservative following in the Mid-West, so bringing his supporters in will also increase McCain's chances of winning over the conservative voters.
I think that McCain will win over conservatives because they have no other choice. Eventually they will realize that McCain is their only choice to take out the Democrats. The Democrats will either have Hillary running, who conservatives despise like no one else, or Obama who could have the charisma to launch the Democratic Party into the dominant position in American politics. The Republicans simply cannot afford to lose this election, and that’s why they will vote for McCain.
Besides the fact that they must, some conservatives may also be won over by McCain’s policies. He still has the support of President Bush who is still liked by many conservatives. This is what McCain said at the speech to the CPAC: "I believe today -- as I believed 25 years ago -- in small government; fiscal discipline; low taxes; a strong defense; judges who enforce, and not make, our laws; the social values that are the true source of our strength; and, generally, the steadfast defense of our rights to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness, which I have defended my entire career as God-given to the born and unborn." No matter what Rush Limbaugh says, this sounds like a very conservative view on the way this country should be run.
I predict that Obama will win the majority of democratic votes. After his major wins in Virginia and Maryland, Clinton's support seems to be dwindling. Her controversial criticism of George Bush hasn't helped her campaign either. Obama seems to be more of a universal candidate, excelling among multiple groups of people. Also, many people don't support an ex-president's wife becoming president. Conclusively, unless Clinton sparks a major change, I suspect Obama will be the democratic representative for presidency.
John McCain will definitely win over the conservative voters. This is due to the fact that George W. Bush is backing him. Many conservatives favor Bush and therefore will be more likely to follow his view. The point was made that Mike Huckabee should drop out of the race so John McCain can focus on more important things than just winning the nomination. Which makes great sense because this will open the door for McCain. Huckabee finally chooses to drop out this will open the door for conservatives to vote John McCain. Even though McCain has been accused of having mixed thoughts he still has more conservative views than both Democratic nominees. Huckabee has a large number of conservatives following him in the Mid-West, so if he gets out of the running then McCain has a great chance of winning over conservatives.
I believe that John McCain will eventually win over the support and vote of the conservatives of our country.
John McCain is in a questionable position right now, despite his dominant performance in the republican primaries so far. Today, February 14, it became mathematically impossible for Mike Huckabee, McCain’s current competitor, to win the republican primaries. Therefore, although Huckabee is unwisely still running, McCain will be the republican nominee for President. It seems then that he would feel confident and secure. In reality, his current position is as far from secure as Iraq’s government, for his real mission is to become the President of the United States. This Presidency will not be achieved unless he wins over the votes of the conservatives in our country. Many conservative talk-show hosts have attacked McCain for his somewhat liberal-leaning votes in Congress and moderate actions. Rush Limbaugh stated, “John McCain has stabbed his party in the back, I can’t tell you how many times”, while Ann Coulter put forth, “I would vote for the Devil over John McCain, thus my claim that I would vote for Hillary over John McCain”. Sean Hannity, Glenn Beck, James Dobson, and other conservative talk show hosts have also joined the fight against McCain. If there is so much negative energy being focused upon McCain, how then will he win over the conservative vote? The answer is simple, and that is that republicans, including those on the far right, will have no where else to run. Twenty years ago in 1988, conservatives were in a similar situation involving George H. W. Bush. Bush, who ran as a moderate in 1980, decided to move rightward for the primaries. Conservatives heavily disagreed with him; however when it came time to vote Democrat or Republican, the overwhelming amount of conservatives voted Republican. It is not only the past, however, that we can look towards as to why conservatives will join McCain. Now that Romney is out and Huckabee simply cannot win, McCain can focus on obtaining the conservative vote. Already he has started by stating, “I will stand on my conservative convictions...that conservative principles still appeal to a majority of American”. The current President, G.W. has also decided to support McCain, as he states “We have had good debates and soon we will have a nominee who will carry the conservative banner into this election and beyond". In accord with past events, present speeches, and projections about the future, McCain will win over the conservatives of our nation.
I don’t think that John McCain will win over the conservatives. First of all, the man is in his 70’s and I doubt he will change his political ideas that he has had for his entire life. According to the article “History and Necessity Unite Bush, McCain”, McCain is siding with President Bush. This may not work to his benefit. If the American public learns that their loved ones are staying in Iraq longer with increased troops if McCain becomes president, they will not vote for him for that reason. If the conservatives were supporters of President Bush, they would realize that if McCain became President he wouldn’t have to do anything that President Bush and he agreed to. McCain also comes off as a hypocrite in the article “History and Necessity Unite Bush, McCain” because it said that he once criticized Bush’s handling of Iraq and Hurricane Katrina so conservatives may believe that he can’t be trusted. Just because President Bush said the republican nominee will “Carry a Conservative Banner” (Washington Post) does not mean that the conservatives who have been booing McCain’s Campaign will stop. I think that the only way that McCain will win over the conservatives would be when they have to support him after all the other republican nominees are gone.
Unto my liking, Obama will most likely win the democratic nomination because of his large range of influence over the American people. He has not only won over the older generations but he has also captured the attention of young voters and even inspired a whole new range of people to vote who never before took the opportunity. Besides his ushering in voters of all ages, both liberal and moderate voters seem to favor his ideals. Obama’s recent win in Maine, Washington D.C., and Maryland has set Clinton back a great deal making it increasingly impossible for Obama to loose the democratic nomination .
John McCain will not be able to win over the conservative vote. President Bush has taken his side and with many americans already turning their back to Bush i feel it will be tough to gain back their votes. McCain's support to keeping troops in Iraq is also a negative approach in his campaign. Many american feel that keeping men over seas is doing no good. Between the killings of innocent people and AED's killing our men we are not gaining any ground. I feel this is a key factor in people leaning towards Obama or Clinton.
I do believe that McCain will win over the conservatives. It has shown he is popular within the party because he’s all but won the Republican Primaries. That means that a majority of the party is on his side. There are a few stragglers who he needs to get on his side, but if he plays his cards right, I believe he can win them over. When I say that, I mean the key to him beating either member from the Democratic Party is making Mike Huckabee his vice president. Huckabee will help McCain in the southern states, being a former preacher in a region that places a high value on religion. He is a true conservative, which will make McCain look better throughout the party by selecting him.
Even though this may not qualify as winning over the conservatives, I can guarantee they won’t be voting for Clinton or Obama come November, so McCain will be the logical choice. In the end, I feel if McCain chooses Huckabee as his vice president, he will not only win over conservatives, but will win the whole election. It’s not like he’s a Democrat trying to win over Republicans, he’s a Republican who just disagrees with one or two Republican ways.
John McCain will no doubt be able to win the conservative vote. On these videos posted he states he has many of the same views as conservatives and the backing by bush will only help him in the long run. Also being basically the only conservate like candidate will allow him to without too conservative views still win the vote. He also believes in a gradual change unlike Obama and hilary which is just what the conservatives like and understand. Finally Mitt Romney backing out of the race will help him win the vote as well his stance on keeping the troops in Iraq for the time being is easily making him the top guy in the conservative vote.
I feel that Barack Obama will win the Democratic nomination because he has so much momentum after Super Tuesday. In the article it said that Sen. Clinton is relying on Ohio and Texas so much that Sen. Obama will gain even more steam. She is hoping that winning these two states will stop Obama’s momentum and swing things in her direction. I don’t think that this will happen because the statistics show that Obama has an increasing number of votes in areas that were once dominated by Clinton. Sen. Obama leads Sen. Clinton is almost every age category, with his biggest margin in the 45 years old and younger. He has also been winning over the moderates, a group that has been leaning towards Clinton for most of the time. He has also been getting more votes from poor people and people with no college degrees, both areas where Clinton was strong. Lastly, Obama beat Clinton in voters who named health care as their top concern even though that is usually an area of strength for Clinton. I really feel that Obama will win the Democratic nomination because of the reasons listed and that Clinton is relying to heavily on the Texas and Ohio primaries while Obama is gaining more momentum in other states across the country.
In my opinion i think that Obama will take the democratic nomination right out of Clintons hands. He has already shown a great lead on Clinton by taking Maryland, Virginia, Maine and Washington state. It is clear to see, that Obama is going to be in the lead with the majority of the 168 pledged delegates on his side. Clinton can obvousely see that it is going to become more difficult for her to gain a lead over Obama, if she is unable to take both Texas and Ohio for their primary. Now that Obama is in the lead more of the younger voters will vote for him because of his plans and promises. The only thing that Clinton has going for her in Texas and Ohio is the working class. But, one of the main reasons that she could not get support from them, and this is a sterotype, is for the fact that she is a woman.
In my opinion I think that Obama will win the democratic nomination because he has a good lead. He has a lead of 65% overall delegates. It said that he has won over Maryland & Virginia along with Maine, Washington D.C. Cliton is hoping to come back because of Texas and Ohio but compared to how Obama is doing I don't think it will help her so much. She is also bashing Bush which is probably not doing the best for her. Obama seems to be reaching out to all different kinds of people. By where he stands now I think he will win the democratic nomination.
In my opinion I think John McCain has a very good chance that he will take the conservative vote for 2008. He has a very strong support in staying in IRAQ and wants to continue to send troops over there. On February 14, it became impossible for Mike Huckabee, another republican running for president, to win the republican primaries. Also with Romney out he has a chance to win for president. Unfortunately I don’t agree with his ideas. I think we should end this war because there are too much causalities and we have not found any weapons of mass destruction. With George Bush’s support I think McCain will not win the election against Hillary or Obama. The last 8 years many people weren’t happy with GWB'S philosophy and McCain has the same idea of GWB so I think that’s not going to help him. McCain will definitely get the conservative vote though.
I believe that Barack Obama will win the democratic nomination. So far he has been sweeping Hilary Clinton in votes from Maryland, Virginia, and the District. Obama won in Virginia with about 64% of the vote, 60% in Maryland, and about 75% of the vote in the District. After this weekend Barack increased his lead with wins in primaries and caucuses in Louisiana, Nebraska, Washington state, and Maine. He’s now on the offensive and Hilary has to take the defensive from now on, which is a harder position to play. Post’s Balz stated that “the bigger your victory, the much bigger the basket of delegates.” Obama has taken the overall lead of votes. Hilary wants to and needs to win in Ohio and Texas to stay alive, and I don’t believe that that will either happen, or will be enough to beat Obama for the Democratic nomination.
I think that McCain will end up winning over the conservatives. The other republicans don't stand much of a chance against McCain. If the conservative voters really want a republican to win, they'll have to vote for him sooner or later. Him being supported by Bush will also help him win the conservative vote. Now, without Romney in the race those voters will have to start supporting another person. Seeing that McCain is favored overall in the republican party, those voters are most likley going to vote for him too.
I believe that McCain has a really good chance at winning over the conservative votes. I think this because he gets alot of support from even his former opponent Romney as well as the president. Now that Romney is out the conservatives are most likely to side with what Romney. He has a lot of experience and is a very strong straight forward contender.
I have no doubt in my mind that John McCain will win the vote of the conservatives. McCain is basically the only candidate speaking on behalf of conservative views. Now that Mitt Romney has dropped out of the race, McCain definitely is becoming more and more popular. He also is siding with Bush in the idea that troops should be kept in Iraq, and the articles state that President Bush will soon be endorsing him as the conservative candidate in this election. McCain is also a good candidate because he has governmental experience. When put in comparison to his opponents Hilary and Obama, and their liberal views, it is quite obvious that he will be gaining the support of the conservatives. All in all, I firmly believe that McCain will win over the conservative voters.
I think that Obama is in position to win the nomination for the Democratic party. His recent momentum is astonishing and with each consecutive victory it will become harder and harder for Hillary to curb his lead. The results from Maine, Virginia, Maryland, and DC show that Obama is taking large portions of voters that have not until now been on his side. He has taken a majority of every combination of race and gender other than white female. He is also leading Hillary in all age groups in total, except for a strange gap in the statistics in the first article for ages 60-65. All this together means that Hillary is losing her support and since Obama is already in the lead those supporters don’t even need to go to him. Any that are just add to the insurmountable odds that Hillary faces in winning the nomination.
I feel that John McCain will be able to win over conservatives. For one thing, he is basically the only Republican left in the race. Mitt Romney recently dropped out, and Mike Huckaby is essentially too far behind to win. Since the conservatives tend to have more of a republican leaning, they will have no choice but to back him. It comes down to voting for McCain, or either Hilary Clinton or Barack Obama, democrats who are both exceptionally liberal. Such options leave conservatives with little choice of whom to support. Another reason that he will be backed by the conservatives is that George Bush will soon be publicly declaring his support for McCain. Bush, a conservative himself, will transfer his supporters to McCain when he does this. His views on the war in Iraq are also very conservative. He supports keeping the troops in Iraq, as opposed to taking them out (which is what Clinton and Obama want). Since the large majority of conservatives would like to keep the troops in Iraq, they will support him.
I believe Obama will win over Clinton in the Democratic vote because it is quite obvious that he is, in my opinion, more dedicated, and does not seem as close minded with his overall message. Furthermore, Obama has a much higher percentage rating then Clinton, and was winning 60% to Clinton’s 37% with the polls in Maryland and the differences between Obama’s and Clinton’s percentages continued like that throughout the voting. Obama is confident that he will win the votes of Hawaii, Wisconsin, and has already won the votes over Louisiana, Nebraska, Washington State, Maine, Virginia, and Washington DC. I am also confident in Obama’s lead because he combines a much diverse group of supporters, such as men, women, young people, older people, African Americans, and whites. Clearly, Obama seems to be filling the needs of the cultures, economies and outlooks of America that the Americans are starving for, much more so than Clinton.
I do believe that John McCain has a very good chance at winning over the conservative vote.
At this point in the primaries it is now mathematically impossible for Huckabee to win the nomination. This means that John McCain will be the Republican candidate for President. This may appear that McCain can rest easy but he now must devote a large portion of his time to win back the conservative voters. Many conservative talk show hosts and advocates have gone to say that McCain is too liberal and shouldn’t be considered a true conservative. This opinion however might soon change for McCain has received many key endorsements including that of President Bush who says that he will help bolster McCain’s conservative base, as well as the endorsement of former opponent Mitt Romney a very popular candidate among the conservatives. When it boils down to it all I believe the conservative base will end up voting for McCain on the fact that they would want a Republican in office as opposed to either Hilary or Obama. An event like this already occurred with President H.W. Bush in 1980. He was not a favorite among conservatives during the primary but when it came time to vote conservatives overwhelmingly voted for him.
All in all I believe that John McCain has a good chance at winning over the conservative vote.
McCain will definitely be able to win over the conservative vote in the primaries. Now that Romney has resigned and endorsed him, McCain is the only strong candidate left for republicans. McCain has 937 delegates ,compared to Huckabee's 217, and with only 1191 delegates needed to win the nomination, Huckabee's campaign is a joke outside of the Evangelical voting movement. As far as the general election goes, whether McCain is capable of securing the conservative vote and the presidency depends on the condition of national security at the time of the election. McCain clearly has a more aggressive defense policy, and is more likely to involve the country in war than either Clinton or Obama. If there is an issue involving national security, conservatives are more likely to side with McCain and his policies. If not, conservatives are more likely to side with Obama or Clinton.
McCain will definitely be able to win the conservative vote in the primary elections. Now, with Romney's resignation from the race, McCain is the only strong candidate left. Against Huckabee, who's campaign is basically a joke outside of the Evangelical voting spectrum, McCain has no real competition for the republican nomination. As far as the general election goes,however, McCain's success depends on the state of national security at the time of the election. McCain's defense policies are more aggressive than either Obama's or Clinton's. If national security is an issue, then conservatives will side with McCain and his policies. If not, conservatives will most likely side with the democratic candidate.
I do not believe that McCain will be able to win over the conservatives. He appears to be doing the bare minimum in order to gain their trust, but this will only lead to his downfall. In one clip, McCain attends the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), an event that he did not attend the year before. This may make many Conservatives feel that McCain may only be telling them what they want to hear. The question was posed, “What have you been doing for Conservatism lately?” The way to win votes is to appeal to all people; specifically in this case, the Conservatives and their values of gradual change. Due to his absence at the previous conference, the conclusion may be made that McCain is resting upon the fact that he served in the war, and that he supports George Bush. Those two points could make many people lean towards McCain in the election. These facts may get him many other votes, but unless he starts becoming increasingly active in the interests of the Conservatives specifically, he very well may not win the Conservative vote.
I strongly believe that Barack Obama will win the democratic nomination. At this point, Hilary Clinton would have to win the majority of the rest of the primaries to even have a chance at winning. Barack Obama is predicted to win in Hawaii and Wisconsin, which would leave Hilary to Ohio and Texas. Hilary believes that she is going to win those states because Ohio is blue collar, and Texas of the large latino population. But voters make independant judgements on who they vote for, so you can't always be sure if you are actually going to win specific states. In several other states Obama has gotten most of the black vote, and held the lead in almost every age group which leads me to believe that Obama is a shoe in, and will undoubtably win the democratic nomination.
McCain will definitely be able to win the conservative vote in the primaries. Now, with Mit Romney's resignation from the race, he is the only strong republican candidate left. Huckabee's campaign is basically a joke outside of the Evangelical voting spectrum, so McCain will have no trouble winning the nomination. As for the general election, McCain's success will depend on the state of national security at the time of the election. Being that McCain's defense policies are more aggressive than either democratic candidate, conservative voters will side with McCain if they feel that the nation's security is under pressure. If not, their votes will likely be taken by the democratic nominee.
I think that McCain will be able to win over the Conservative side of the campaign because Romney, McCain’s main conservative opponent, has been knocked out mathematically. This means that as of February 8th polls proved that if Romney won all delegates in the future he would still be in last place because he has so far won a tremendously small amount of delegates. Then, in Romney’s response to his loss, he has still decided to support McCain. He is doing so because he believes that he would rather see a conservative win the election than a democrat who he feels will threaten the country’s well being once in office. “And in this time of war, I simply cannot let my campaign be a part of aiding a surrender to terror." He believes that democrats, whether Clinton or Obama, will ultimately make decisions leading to our nation losing the war. Also, because Romney is out the people who once voted for him will most likely look for another conservative to vote for meaning that McCain will somewhat be getting his votes plus many of Romney’s votes. “former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee and Rep. Ron Paul (Tex.),” neither have “a plausible chance of winning the nomination” as well. (Romney Out, McCain Looks Ahead)
McCain will most likely win over the conservatives. The conservatives are worried about all the people that will die in the Iraq war, that McCain thinks is an important war, the troops need to stay there and fight. He does a very decent job at trying to convince the conservatives that the war situation he belives in is very important, by also relating and listening to their side. He said many times that anyone else elected over him will not take enough risks to really help the nation. Also now that Romney is no longer running, McCain comes up at the top of the run as the strongest. Some people disagree from his lack of actiontaking so far, but with the new support he is getting he will soon be at the top.
I predict that McCain will win the conservative vote because George Bush is backing him up and siding with him. I like how he is saying that the other candidates will pull the troops out of Iraq too soon. I also like how he says that the demacrats will give in to popular demand. So i believe John McCain has the best chance at winning.
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